The Williamson County housing market has undergone a notable shift over the past several years, moving from the rapid appreciation and tight inventory of 2022 toward a more balanced and inventory-rich environment by the end of 2025. Using Austin ABOR MLS data, this analysis compares December 2025 with December 2024 and December 2023, while also examining broader trends in pricing, inventory, sales activity, and listings.
Year-Over-Year Comparison: December 2025 vs. 2024 and 2023
| Metric | Dec 2023 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $425,000 | $425,000 | $415,000 |
| Closed Sales | 872 | 806 | 895 |
| Sales Dollar Volume (B) | 0.412 | 0.388 | 0.418 |
| Months of Inventory | 2.5 | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| New Listings | 577 | 693 | 645 |
| Active Listings | 2,156 | 2,550 | 3,302 |
Key takeaway: Compared to the past two years, December 2025 shows lower prices, higher inventory, and improving sales activity, signaling a market that is more favorable to buyers while still supporting transaction volume.
Median Sale Price Trend: Cooling After the Peak
The median sale price in Williamson County peaked in mid-2022 above $500,000 before entering a prolonged correction phase.
- December 2023: $425,000
- December 2024: $425,000
- December 2025: $415,000
After holding flat through 2024, prices declined modestly in 2025. This suggests that affordability pressures, higher inventory levels, and buyer caution continue to limit upward price movement. While prices remain well above pre-pandemic levels, the era of rapid appreciation has clearly passed, replaced by a more stable, price-sensitive market.
Months of Inventory: A Shift Toward Balance
Months of inventory is one of the clearest indicators of changing market dynamics.
- December 2023: 2.5 months (seller-leaning)
- December 2024: 3.2 months (approaching balance)
- December 2025: 3.7 months (balanced market)
Inventory has steadily increased since 2022, when levels were often below one month. By late 2025, Williamson County is operating much closer to a balanced market, giving buyers more choices and reducing the urgency and bidding wars that defined earlier years.
Closed Sales Trend: Resilience Despite Headwinds
Closed sales activity tells an encouraging story.
- December 2023: 872 sales
- December 2024: 806 sales
- December 2025: 895 sales
Despite higher interest rates and softer prices, closed sales rebounded in 2025 and exceeded both prior years. This indicates that buyers are still active, adjusting expectations and moving forward when pricing aligns with market conditions. The market is not stagnant — it is recalibrating.
New Listings Trend: Sellers Are Still Participating
New listings have remained relatively healthy, though they fluctuate with pricing confidence.
- December 2023: 577 new listings
- December 2024: 693 new listings
- December 2025: 645 new listings
While slightly lower than 2024, 2025 listing activity remains higher than 2023. Combined with rising active listings, this shows that sellers are still entering the market, even as they adapt to longer days on market and more competitive pricing.
Conclusion: A More Balanced Williamson County Market
By the end of 2025, the Williamson County real estate market has clearly transitioned away from the extreme seller’s market of 2022 into a healthier, more balanced environment. Prices have softened but stabilized, inventory has expanded, and sales activity remains resilient. Buyers benefit from increased options and negotiating power, while sellers who price strategically continue to find success.
Looking ahead, the market appears positioned for steady, sustainable activity rather than sharp swings, making 2026 a year where informed decisions — not urgency — will define success for both buyers and sellers in Williamson County.
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