The Williamson County residential real estate market continues to adjust in 2025 as higher inventory levels, cautious buyers, and steady new listings reshape market dynamics. Using Austin ABOR MLS data, we can compare the latest numbers with prior years and identify key trends shaping the local housing landscape.
Year-Over-Year Comparison: November 2025 vs. 2024 and 2023
In November 2025, the median sales price came in at $415,000, slightly below November 2024 ($423,120) and roughly flat compared to November 2023 ($416,545). This suggests prices have largely stabilized after the sharper declines seen in 2023.
Closed sales declined to 661 transactions, down from 752 in November 2024 and 697 in November 2023, indicating softer buyer activity despite modest price adjustments. Sales dollar volume followed the same pattern, falling to $0.307B, compared to $0.359B last year and $0.322B two years ago.
Inventory conditions, however, tell a very different story. Months of inventory rose to 4.5 months, up significantly from 3.9 months in November 2024 and 3.0 months in November 2023, signaling a market that has clearly shifted toward buyers.
New listings totaled 791, higher than 744 in November 2024 but slightly below 818 in November 2023, while active listings increased sharply to 3,707, compared to 3,047 last year and 2,587 two years ago.
Median Sale Price Trend: From Peak to Plateau
Williamson County prices peaked in early-to-mid 2022, with median prices consistently near or above $500,000. Since then, the market has undergone a gradual correction.
From 2023 through 2025, median prices have mostly ranged between $400,000 and $435,000, reflecting a market that has moved away from rapid appreciation and into a phase of relative stability. While seasonal bumps still appear in spring and early summer, price growth has been muted, suggesting buyers are more price-sensitive and sellers are adjusting expectations.
Months of Inventory: A Clear Shift Toward Balance
The most dramatic structural change in the market has been inventory growth. In early 2022, Williamson County operated in an extremely tight seller’s market, with months of inventory below 1 month.
By late 2023, inventory hovered around 3 months, and by 2024–2025 it expanded further into the 4–5.5 month range. November 2025’s 4.5 months of inventory places the market firmly in balanced-to-buyer-leaning territory, giving buyers more leverage and time to make decisions.
Closed Sales Trend: Demand Remains Cautious
Closed sales volumes tell a story of moderated demand. Annual peaks in 2022 regularly exceeded 1,000 monthly sales, but activity has cooled since then.
Throughout 2024 and 2025, monthly closed sales generally ranged between 750 and 950, with November 2025 dipping to 661. Higher mortgage rates and affordability constraints continue to weigh on buyer activity, even as prices soften.
New Listings Trend: Sellers Are Still Showing Up
Despite slower sales, sellers continue to list homes at a healthy pace. New listings rebounded strongly in 2024 and remained elevated throughout 2025, often exceeding 1,400–1,800 listings per month during peak seasons.
This steady inflow of new inventory, combined with slower absorption, explains the growing number of active listings and rising months of inventory. Sellers appear motivated, but many must compete harder on pricing and concessions to secure contracts.
Conclusion: A More Negotiated Market Emerges
As of November 2025, the Williamson County housing market looks very different from the frenzy of 2022. Prices have stabilized, inventory has normalized, and buyers now enjoy more choices and negotiating power. While demand remains softer than in past years, the market is healthier and more sustainable, with fewer extreme swings.
Looking ahead, the balance between inventory growth and buyer confidence will be the key factor to watch. For buyers, opportunities are improving. For sellers, success increasingly depends on realistic pricing and strong presentation. Williamson County has firmly entered a new phase—one defined by balance rather than urgency.
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